La Niña Odds Waver in Latest Update

The likelihood of La Niña forming by September of 2024 was above 80% in the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's April 2024 update.It's been six months since, and La Niña has yet to emerge. In fact, in the October 10, 2024 update to NOAA's El Niño/Southern Oscillation Diagnostic Discussion, the likelihood of La Niña has decreased to just 60%.La Niña occurs when Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs) cool in the 'Key Monitoring Region' seen above. This ani