UFC on FOX 21 odds, gambling strategy guide

It's fight night and so we are back again with another gambling preview of the fights, the odds, and my own personal breakdown of where the value lies. Fights with debuting fighters get less in-depth analysis because stats aren't available and same goes for fighters with only a couple of UFC bouts.
Also, just to clarify because I've gotten some questions about this: the number after the odds on each fighter is the percentage probability of victory that those odds imply. That means Carlos Condit