Political polls historically underestimate Phil Scott. Will 2026 be different?

Gov. Phil Scott leaves the House of Representatives chamber after delivering his state of the state address at the Statehouse in Montpelier in January 2026. File photo by Glenn Russell/VTDiggerIn Vermont politics, late-summer polling has a habit of making Gov. Phil Scott look vulnerable — right up until election night proves he isn’t.Two new September surveys appear to tell different stories about this year’s governor’s race. One, published by the University of New Hamps