We need to stop putting so much faith in models

Over 2 million Americans will die!
That was the prediction from “experts” at London’s Imperial College when COVID-19 began. They did also say if there was “social distancing of the whole population,” the death toll could be cut in half, but 1.1 million to 1.2 million Americans would still die by this summer.
Our actual death toll has been about one-tenth of that.
Nevertheless, Imperial College’s model was extremely influential.
Politicians issued stay-at-home