A look at President Trump’s chances for re-election
In September 2016, when pollsters were quite certain that Hillary Clinton was the next president of the United States, history professor Allan Lichtman predicted that Donald Trump would win the election. Even earlier, in February 2016, political science professor Helmut Norpoth assessed that Trump had a 97 percent chance of defeating Clinton.
Lichtman, of American University in Washington, D.C., is the co-developer of a model called the “13 Keys to the White House.” It evolved from a
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