When will California emerge from the coronavirus crisis? What models can – and can't – predict

Three key models paint very different pictures, underlining the uncertainty ahead* Coronavirus – live US updates* Live global updates* See all our coronavirus coverageThe US’s most influential coronavirus model predicts California will see its outbreak peak this week – exactly one month after San Francisco and several other Bay Area counties enforced the nation’s first shelter-in-place orders. According to the state’s own projections, however, the number of coronavi