Opinion: Pick a number, any number

As the biggest cat modelling company, RMS was under intense
pressure to publish loss forecasts for Hurricane Irma from well
before it made landfall in the US.
Yesterday - 10 days after Irma hit Florida - RMS finally broke
its silence, following the path marked out by its rivals.
Perhaps cognisant of the modelling sector's historic misses,
RMS gave itself plenty of room for manoeuvre.
It published a range ofbetween $35bn and $55bn, split roughly two thirds to one...