Quebec election notebook: Odds on CAQ minority, number crunchers say

Benjamin Forest has crunched the numbers and says he can make an educated guess about how your riding and the 124 others across Quebec would have voted if the election had been held last week.
And the McGill associate geography professor says he can tell you with some certainty that François Legault’s Coalition Avenir Québec would have won the election, likely with a minority government.
There would have been a 27-per-cent chance of a majority government — and a 73